Etihad AL Gharafa vs Umm-Salal SC
Match details. 2. Division. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Etihad AL Gharafa have won none, drawn one and lost four of their last five, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Umm-Salal SC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Etihad AL Gharafa score 0.2 and concede 2.8 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Etihad AL Gharafa average 4.6 shots (1.8 on target), 1.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Umm-Salal SC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Umm-Salal SC average 6.6 shots (2.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Etihad AL Gharafa the likelier winners, but Umm-Salal SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Umm-Salal SC.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Umm-Salal SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Umm-Salal SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Umm-Salal SC 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: Etihad AL Gharafa 1-1 Umm-Salal SC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).