Match details. Gulf Club Champions League, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil.
Form. Erbil SC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. In this competition Erbil SC have gone L. Kazma SC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. In this competition Kazma SC have gone L L.
The numbers. Erbil SC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Kazma SC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. Erbil SC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Kazma SC to win. A tight game. Kazma SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kazma SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Kazma SC at 1.59, 72% on the records (Kazma SC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Erbil SC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Leave: Kazma SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kazma SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Erbil SC 0-1 Kazma SC (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Kazma SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · KAZ 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%
Kazma SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Erbil SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%
Double Chance: Draw or Kazma SCMAININ CODES
1.59
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · KAZ 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
Kazma SC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Erbil SC failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · KAZ 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
Erbil SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kazma SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · KAZ 4 of 5 (80%)90%
Erbil SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kazma SC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
ERBIL SC GOALS
Erbil SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · KAZ 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Erbil SC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Kazma SC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
Erbil SC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
ERB 3 of 5 (60%) · KAZ 3 of 5 (60%)61.7%
Erbil SC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Kazma SC conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
KAZMA SC GOALS
Kazma SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
ERB 3 of 5 (60%) · KAZ 3 of 5 (60%)61.7%
Kazma SC scored in 3 of 5 away · Erbil SC conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.41
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · KAZ 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kazma SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Kazma SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Kazma SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–110.6%
Erbil SC goals →
Kazma SC goals ↓
0-011%
1-011%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-111%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.7%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ERBIL SCWDWLWDLLLD1.20 PPG
KAZMA SCDWWDWDLWWL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ERBIL SC HOMExKAZMA SC AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS40%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.58POINTS A GAME2.33+0.58GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.83+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+8.31.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.212LEAGUE GAMES6
Kazma SC: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
KAZMA SC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ERBIL SC OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
KAZMA SC OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ERBIL SCxKAZMA SC
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%6.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.27.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.