Etincelles FC vs SC Kiyovu
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi.
What's at stake. Etincelles FC are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Gasogi United, 1 point clear of Bugesera. A win would take them above Gasogi United. SC Kiyovu are 10th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Amagaju, level on points with Police. A win would take them above Amagaju.
Form. Etincelles FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. SC Kiyovu have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. Etincelles FC score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Etincelles FC average 8.7 shots (2.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. SC Kiyovu score 0.5 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. SC Kiyovu average 8.0 shots (2.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Etincelles FC have won none, drawn two and lost eight. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and SC Kiyovu won three. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Etincelles FC 0-0 SC Kiyovu .
The case against. Etincelles FC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. SC Kiyovu to win. A tight game. SC Kiyovu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Kiyovu ; the meetings favour SC Kiyovu . Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SC Kiyovu Over 0.5 Goals (SC Kiyovu 's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Etincelles FC 0-1 SC Kiyovu (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).