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RWANDA - PREMIER LEAGUE
Bugesera FC crestBFBUG
14:00Wed 4 Nov
AMAAmagaju crestAMA

Bugesera FC vs Amagaju

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Bugesera FC are 14th on 6 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Etincelles, level on points with Al Hilal Omdurman. A win would take them above Etincelles. Amagaju are 9th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Rayon Sports, level on points with Kiyovu Sports. A win would take them above Rayon Sports.

Form. Bugesera FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Amagaju have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D.

The numbers. Bugesera FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Bugesera FC average 5.5 shots (1.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Amagaju score one and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Amagaju average 8.3 shots (2.8 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Bugesera FC have won two, drawn five and lost one. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Bugesera FC won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Bugesera FC 0-0 Amagaju.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bugesera FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Amagaju or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bugesera FC 1-1 Amagaju (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUG 10 of 10 (100%) · AMA 10 of 10 (100%)96%
Bugesera FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amagaju: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bugesera FC: only games against sides at Amagaju's level · Amagaju: only games against sides at Bugesera FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUG 10 of 10 (100%) · AMA 10 of 10 (100%)89.5%
Bugesera FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amagaju: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bugesera FC: only games against sides at Amagaju's level · Amagaju: only games against sides at Bugesera FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUG 8 of 10 (80%) · AMA 8 of 10 (80%)76.4%
Bugesera FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amagaju: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bugesera FC: only games against sides at Amagaju's level · Amagaju: only games against sides at Bugesera FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUG 7 of 10 (70%) · AMA 6 of 10 (60%)55.2%
Bugesera FC: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amagaju: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bugesera FC: only games against sides at Amagaju's level · Amagaju: only games against sides at Bugesera FC's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUG 9 of 10 (90%) · AMA 7 of 10 (70%)80%
Bugesera FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amagaju's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Bugesera FC: only games against sides at Amagaju's level · Amagaju: only games against sides at Bugesera FC's level
Left off the list: Bugesera FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Amagaju or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Bugesera FC goals →
Amagaju goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
BUGESERA FCLLLDLWLWWL1.00 PPG
AMAGAJUWLDWLDLWLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BUGESERA FC HOMExAMAGAJU AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.001.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS50%50%FAILED TO SCORE29%4.10CORNERS A GAME4.301.70CARDS A GAME1.60
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
BUGESERA FC 2 · 25%DRAW 5AMAGAJU 1 · 12%
2 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-01-06Bugesera FC 0 – 1 Amagaju
2019-05-19Bugesera FC 1 – 0 Amagaju
2023-10-28Bugesera FC 2 – 2 Amagaju
2024-03-08Bugesera FC 1 – 1 Amagaju
2024-08-15Bugesera FC 0 – 0 Amagaju
2025-03-01Bugesera FC 1 – 0 Amagaju
2025-09-20Bugesera FC 0 – 0 Amagaju
2026-03-01Bugesera FC 0 – 0 Amagaju
TRENDS
Bugesera FC have scored in 50% of their games.
Amagaju have scored in 60% of their games.
Bugesera FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Amagaju kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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