Al Zawraa vs AL Julan
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Zawraa are 4th on 21 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Newroz, level on points with Al Shorta. A win would take them above Newroz. AL Julan are 6th on 20 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Al Shorta, 1 point clear of Erbil. A win would take them above Al Shorta.
Form. Al Zawraa have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. In this competition Al Zawraa have gone W L L L W W. AL Julan have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition AL Julan have gone W W W D D L.
The numbers. Al Zawraa score 2.2 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Al Zawraa average 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. AL Julan score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AL Julan average 3.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 74% on the records (Al Zawraa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; AL Julan: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 away). Predicted score: Al Zawraa 1-1 AL Julan (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).