Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs AL Karkh
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 12th on 13 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Al Talaba, level on points with Diyala. A win would take them above Al Talaba. AL Karkh are 17th on 9 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Mosul, level on points with Naft Maysan. A win would take them level on points with Mosul.
Form. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. In this competition Al Quwa Al Jawiya have gone D L D W D L. AL Karkh have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. In this competition AL Karkh have gone L D D L W W.
The numbers. Al Quwa Al Jawiya score 0.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Quwa Al Jawiya average 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AL Karkh score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Karkh average 2.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Al Quwa Al Jawiya won two, one was drawn and AL Karkh won one. The last time they met, on 26 Mar 2026, it finished Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 AL Karkh.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 60% against the records' 38%.
The read. No firm call: Al Quwa Al Jawiya are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al Quwa Al Jawiya the likelier winners; Al Quwa Al Jawiya are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 26%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Quwa Al Jawiya Over 0.5 Goals (Al Quwa Al Jawiya's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 AL Karkh (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).