AL Talaba vs Ghaz Al-Shamal SC
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 14:45 Lagos time. It is played at Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad.
What's at stake. AL Talaba are 11th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Ghaz Al Shamal, 1 point clear of Diyala. A win would take them above Ghaz Al Shamal. Ghaz Al-Shamal SC are 10th on 15 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Al Minaa Basra, level on points with Al Talaba. A win would take them above Al Minaa Basra.
Form. AL Talaba have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. In this competition AL Talaba have gone D W W D D L. Ghaz Al-Shamal SC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. In this competition Ghaz Al-Shamal SC have gone D W W L D D.
The numbers. AL Talaba score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Talaba average 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Ghaz Al-Shamal SC score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ghaz Al-Shamal SC average 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. AL Talaba or the draw. A tight game. AL Talaba are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 16%.
The bets. Best bet: AL Talaba or Draw at 1.28, 72% on the records (AL Talaba unbeaten in 6 of 6 at home; Ghaz Al-Shamal SC failed to win 5 of 6 away). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17 (77%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AL Talaba or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AL Talaba 1-1 Ghaz Al-Shamal SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).