Melbourne Victory FC vs Persib Bandung
Match details. AFC Champions League Two. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 08:45 Lagos time.
Form. Melbourne Victory FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. Persib Bandung have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Melbourne Victory FC score 0.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Melbourne Victory FC average 11.3 shots (3.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Persib Bandung score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Persib Bandung average 13.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Persib Bandung are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Persib Bandung are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Persib Bandung. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 88% on the records (Melbourne Victory FC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Persib Bandung: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.41. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Persib Bandung Over 0.5 goals (Melbourne Victory FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Melbourne Victory FC 0-0 Persib Bandung (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).