AL Nasr SC (OMA) vs Sur SC
Match details. Omani League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 14:05 Lagos time.
Form. AL Nasr SC (OMA) have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Sur SC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. AL Nasr SC (OMA) score one and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Nasr SC (OMA) average 8.2 shots (3.2 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Sur SC score 1.6 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sur SC average 6.7 shots (2.3 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 48%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The read. No firm call: AL Nasr SC (OMA) are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AL Nasr SC (OMA) the likelier winners; AL Nasr SC (OMA) are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Nasr SC (OMA). Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. Best bet: AL Nasr SC (OMA) or Draw at 1.11, 90% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (AL Nasr SC (OMA) are a clear winner, no Unders); AL Nasr SC (OMA) Over 1.5 goals (AL Nasr SC (OMA)'s own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (AL Nasr SC (OMA) are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: AL Nasr SC (OMA) 2-1 Sur SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).