Match details. Serie C, Group A. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Pergolettese Crema have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D. AC Renate have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D.
The numbers. US Pergolettese Crema score 1.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. US Pergolettese Crema average 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game. AC Renate score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AC Renate average 5.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. US Pergolettese Crema to win. Their goals for and against make US Pergolettese Crema the likelier winners; US Pergolettese Crema are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: US Pergolettese Crema 1-0 AC Renate (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USP 10 of 10 (100%) · ACR 5 of 5 (100%)95.7%
US Pergolettese Crema: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Renate: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Renate's level · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
USP 8 of 10 (80%) · ACR 4 of 5 (80%)89.2%
US Pergolettese Crema: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Renate: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Renate's level · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
USP 7 of 10 (70%) · ACR 3 of 5 (60%)76.9%
US Pergolettese Crema: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Renate: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Renate's level · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
US PERGOLETTESE CREMA GOALS
US Pergolettese Crema Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USP 6 of 10 (60%) · ACR 4 of 5 (80%)74.6%
US Pergolettese Crema scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Renate conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Renate's level · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
AC RENATE GOALS
AC Renate Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.47
USP 3 of 5 (60%) · ACR 7 of 10 (70%)68%
AC Renate scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · US Pergolettese Crema conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Renate's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.5%
US Pergolettese Crema goals →
AC Renate goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
US PERGOLETTESE CREMALWWWDDDDWD1.70 PPG
AC RENATEWDLDDLLDDL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US PERGOLETTESE CREMA HOMExAC RENATE AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.171.00CONCEDED A GAME1.3350%BOTH SCORED60%50%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.58CORNERS A GAME5.421.58CARDS A GAME1.92
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.55POINTS A GAME0.67+0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.17+2.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES12
US Pergolettese Crema: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
84%
NO · 85/90
US PERGOLETTESE CREMA OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
AC RENATE OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US PERGOLETTESE CREMAxAC RENATE
5GAMES60.80SCORED A GAME1.830.60CONCEDED A GAME1.671.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.540%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%40%BOTH SCORE83%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.66.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Pergolettese Crema have scored in 60% of their games.
AC Renate have scored in 70% of their games.
US Pergolettese Crema kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
AC Renate kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards