Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 13. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia.
What's at stake. Union Brescia are 2nd on 25 points after 12 games, 5 points behind Cittadella, 1 point clear of Trento. FC Arzignano Valchiampo are 4th on 21 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Trento, 2 points clear of Ospitaletto. A win would take them level on points with Trento.
Form. Union Brescia have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. FC Arzignano Valchiampo have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.
The numbers. Union Brescia score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Union Brescia average 5.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. FC Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FC Arzignano Valchiampo average 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Union Brescia have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 4 Jan 2026, it finished Union Brescia 2-1 FC Arzignano Valchiampo.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 41%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The read. No firm call: Union Brescia are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Union Brescia the likelier winners; Union Brescia are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 72% on the records (Union Brescia: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 9; FC Arzignano Valchiampo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Union Brescia 1-1 FC Arzignano Valchiampo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).