Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 13. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Ferruccio, Seregno, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Alcione Milano are 7th on 18 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Treviso, 1 point clear of Lecco. A win would take them above Treviso. AC Lumezzane are 11th on 13 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Pergolettese, level on points with Desenzano Calvina.
Form. Alcione Milano have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. AC Lumezzane have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. Alcione Milano score 1.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Alcione Milano average 4.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. AC Lumezzane score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AC Lumezzane average 4.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Alcione Milano have won three, drawn two and lost two. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Alcione Milano won one, two were drawn and AC Lumezzane won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Alcione Milano 0-0 AC Lumezzane.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Alcione Milano or Draw at 1.28, 68% on the records (Alcione Milano unbeaten in 8 of 10; AC Lumezzane failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Alcione Milano 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Alcione Milano 1-1 AC Lumezzane (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).