AMALM

16:30Thu 5 Nov

DUH

AL Mosul SC vs Duhok FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AL Mosul SC are 16th on 12 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Gharraf, 3 points clear of Al Karkh. A win would take them above Gharraf. Duhok FC are 9th on 15 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Al Minaa Basra, level on points with Ghaz Al Shamal. A win would take them above Al Minaa Basra.

Form. AL Mosul SC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. In this competition AL Mosul SC have gone L D W L L L. Duhok FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition Duhok FC have gone L W L W D L.

The numbers. AL Mosul SC score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Mosul SC average 3.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Duhok FC score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Duhok FC average 6.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings AL Mosul SC have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 May 2026, it finished AL Mosul SC 3-3 Duhok FC.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Duhok FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Duhok FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Duhok FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: AL Mosul SC 1-1 Duhok FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALM 4 of 5 (80%) · DUH 6 of 6 (100%)96.2%

AL Mosul SC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Duhok FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at Duhok FC's level · Duhok FC: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALM 4 of 5 (80%) · DUH 5 of 6 (83%)90.5%

AL Mosul SC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Duhok FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at Duhok FC's level · Duhok FC: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.80

ALM 2 of 5 (40%) · DUH 3 of 6 (50%)53.1%

AL Mosul SC: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Duhok FC: both scored in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 50% · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at Duhok FC's level · Duhok FC: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level

AL MOSUL SC GOALS

AL Mosul SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.38

ALM 3 of 5 (60%) · DUH 5 of 6 (83%)66.2%

AL Mosul SC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Duhok FC conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at Duhok FC's level · Duhok FC: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level

Left off the list: Duhok FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Duhok FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Duhok FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Duhok FC Over 0.5 Goals (Duhok FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Duhok FC (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Duhok FC 1UP (no result call); Duhok FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

AL Mosul SC goals →

Duhok FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL MOSUL SCWLDLLLLWDL0.80 PPG

DUHOK FCDDWDLDWLWL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL MOSUL SC HOMExDUHOK FC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.501.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.27CORNERS A GAME6.421.73CARDS A GAME1.83

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.09POINTS A GAME1.40-0.45GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50-5.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES10

Duhok FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AL MOSUL SC OR DRAW

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

DUHOK FC OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL MOSUL SCxDUHOK FC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

AL MOSUL SC 0 · 0%DRAW 2DUHOK FC 0 · 0%

2026-02-13AL Mosul SC 0 – 0 Duhok FC

2026-05-15AL Mosul SC 3 – 3 Duhok FC

TRENDS

AL Mosul SC have scored in 60% of their games.

Duhok FC have scored in 70% of their games.

AL Mosul SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Duhok FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards