Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 14:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Diyala FC are 13th on 13 points after 12 games, level on points with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, level on points with Zakho. A win would take them above Al Quwa Al Jawiya. AL Minaa are 8th on 16 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Erbil, 1 point clear of Duhok. A win would take them level on points with Erbil.
Form. Diyala FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. In this competition Diyala FC have gone L D W L D W. AL Minaa have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition AL Minaa have gone D W L W D L.
The numbers. Diyala FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Diyala FC average 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. AL Minaa score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AL Minaa average 5.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Diyala FC have won none, drawn three and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 18 Mar 2026, it finished Diyala FC 1-1 AL Minaa.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Diyala FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; AL Minaa: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Diyala FC 1-1 AL Minaa (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).