Match details. Copa Parana. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Paranaense PR have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. Paranavai PR have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. CA Paranaense PR score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Paranaense PR average 14.0 shots (5.5 on target), 10.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Paranavai PR score one and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Paranavai PR average 4.0 shots (1.2 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Paranavai PR Over 0.5 Goals (Paranavai PR's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: CA Paranaense PR 0-0 Paranavai PR (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).