Match details. Copa Ecuador, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CSD Independiente del Valle have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Delfin SC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. CSD Independiente del Valle score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CSD Independiente del Valle average 13.4 shots (5.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Delfin SC score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Delfin SC average 11.2 shots (4.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CSD Independiente del Valle have won six, drawn two and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CSD Independiente del Valle won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 29 Oct 2026, it finished CSD Independiente del Valle 3-0 Delfin SC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: CSD Independiente del Valle are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. CSD Independiente del Valle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CSD Independiente del Valle; the meetings favour CSD Independiente del Valle. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CSD Independiente del Valle 1-1 Delfin SC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).