Match details. CFL, Group A - 8. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 10:15 Lagos time. It is played at TCM Strahov, Prague.
Form. Sparta Prague B have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. FC Viktoria Plzen B have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Sparta Prague B score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sparta Prague B average 4.4 corners and 1.3 cards a game. FC Viktoria Plzen B score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FC Viktoria Plzen B average 4.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Sparta Prague B's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. FC Viktoria Plzen B to win. An open game. FC Viktoria Plzen B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Viktoria Plzen B. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Viktoria Plzen B or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Sparta Prague B Under 1.5 goals (Sparta Prague B's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Sparta Prague B 1-2 FC Viktoria Plzen B (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).