KF Tefik Canga vs KF Ferizaj
Match details. Liga e Pare. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. KF Tefik Canga have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. KF Ferizaj have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. KF Tefik Canga score 0.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. KF Tefik Canga average 2.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game. KF Ferizaj score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. KF Ferizaj average 7.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. KF Ferizaj to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make KF Ferizaj the likelier winners; KF Ferizaj are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Ferizaj. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: KF Tefik Canga 0-1 KF Ferizaj (16% chance).
The agreed story. KF Ferizaj or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).