Match details. Persha Liga. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. FSK Mariupol have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. FC Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk score 0.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk average 6.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. FSK Mariupol score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FSK Mariupol average 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. FSK Mariupol to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FSK Mariupol the likelier winners; FSK Mariupol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FSK Mariupol. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FSK Mariupol Over 0.5 Goals (FC Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FSK Mariupol or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk 0-1 FSK Mariupol (17% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).