MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
00:00Thu 5 Nov
ATL
AM
Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Venados FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. Atletico Morelia have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D.
The numbers. Venados FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Venados FC average 5.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Atletico Morelia score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Atletico Morelia average 6.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. Atletico Morelia's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Venados FC to win. Their goals for and against make Venados FC the likelier winners; Venados FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Venados FC 1-0 Atletico Morelia (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Venados FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VEN 9 of 10 (90%) · ATL 4 of 6 (67%)80.6%
Venados FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Venados FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.16
VEN 9 of 10 (90%) · ATL 4 of 6 (67%)78.9%
Venados FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Venados FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VEN 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)73.3%
Venados FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia trailed or failed to win in 3 of 6 away · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Venados FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.63
VEN 4 of 7 (57%) · ATL 2 of 5 (40%)62.8%
Venados FC won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Atletico Morelia lost 2 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 47% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
Venados FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
VEN 7 of 10 (70%) · ATL 3 of 6 (50%)60%
Venados FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Venados FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
VEN 6 of 10 (60%) · ATL 3 of 6 (50%)55%
Venados FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Venados FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VEN 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 5 of 10 (50%)53.3%
Venados FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia trailed in 3 of 6 away · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
VEN 7 of 10 (70%) · ATL 6 of 6 (100%)86.7%
Venados FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
VEN 9 of 10 (90%) · ATL 4 of 6 (67%)75.3%
Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
VEN 8 of 10 (80%) · ATL 4 of 6 (67%)53.9%
Venados FC: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia: both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
VENADOS FC GOALS
Venados FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
VEN 9 of 10 (90%) · ATL 4 of 6 (67%)78.6%
Venados FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Morelia conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
ATLETICO MORELIA GOALS
Atletico Morelia Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
VEN 5 of 6 (83%) · ATL 6 of 10 (60%)68.7%
Atletico Morelia scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 away · Venados FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.25
VEN 6 of 6 (100%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)67.8%
Atletico Morelia scored in 6 of 6 away · Venados FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 9.9%
Venados FC goals →
Atletico Morelia goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
VENADOS FCDWDDWWLWLL1.50 PPG
ATLETICO MORELIALWLDDLWWWW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VENADOS FC HOMExATLETICO MORELIA AWAY
2.07SCORED A GAME1.731.67CONCEDED A GAME1.2780%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.33CORNERS A GAME6.932.73CARDS A GAME2.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.69POINTS A GAME1.86+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.57+2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.91.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.013LEAGUE GAMES14
Venados FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
VENADOS FC OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
ATLETICO MORELIA OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VENADOS FCxATLETICO MORELIA
6GAMES82.83SCORED A GAME1.121.00CONCEDED A GAME1.123.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS62%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%67%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.7–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.7
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Venados FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Atletico Morelia have scored in 100% of their games.
Venados FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Atletico Morelia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards