Match details. Copa Ecuador, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. LDU Quito have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L.
The numbers. LDU Quito score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. LDU Quito average 13.4 shots (4.7 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador average 11.3 shots (3.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings LDU Quito have won three, drawn three and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, LDU Quito won one, two were drawn and CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador won one. The last time they met, on 30 Oct 2026, it finished LDU Quito 2-2 CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: LDU Quito or Both Teams Score (no result call); LDU Quito or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: LDU Quito 2-1 CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).