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COLOMBIA - LIGA DIMAYOR
CD Tolima crestCTCDT
00:10Mon 9 Nov
MILMillonarios FC crestMF

CD Tolima vs Millonarios FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Liga DIMAYOR. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 00:10 Lagos time.

Form. CD Tolima have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. Millonarios FC have won three, drawn seven and lost none of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D.

The numbers. CD Tolima score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. CD Tolima average 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Millonarios FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Millonarios FC average 5.7 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 53%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Tolima 1-1 Millonarios FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 10 of 10 (100%) · MIL 9 of 9 (100%)95.7%
CD Tolima: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Millonarios FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Tolima: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 9 of 10 (90%) · MIL 8 of 9 (89%)88.8%
CD Tolima: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Millonarios FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Tolima: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level
MILLONARIOS FC GOALS
Millonarios FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
CDT 8 of 9 (89%) · MIL 8 of 10 (80%)69.3%
Millonarios FC scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tolima conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level · CD Tolima: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.5%
CD Tolima goals →
Millonarios FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CD TOLIMAWLLLDDDDLL0.70 PPG
MILLONARIOS FCDDWDDDDWWD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD TOLIMA HOMExMILLONARIOS FC AWAY
1.24SCORED A GAME1.411.18CONCEDED A GAME0.8250%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.20CORNERS A GAME5.672.80CARDS A GAME3.22
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.62POINTS A GAME1.60+0.23GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+4.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.413LEAGUE GAMES15
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
CD TOLIMA OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
MILLONARIOS FC OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD TOLIMAxMILLONARIOS FC
6GAMES91.50SCORED A GAME1.441.33CONCEDED A GAME1.112.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.683%OVER 1.5 GOALS89%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%83%BOTH SCORE78%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.1–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.3
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Tolima have scored in 50% of their games.
Millonarios FC have scored in 90% of their games.
CD Tolima kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Millonarios FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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