Match details. Liga DIMAYOR. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Independiente Santa Fe have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. AD Pasto have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Independiente Santa Fe score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Independiente Santa Fe average 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. AD Pasto score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AD Pasto average 4.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. AD Pasto's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Independiente Santa Fe to win. A tight game. Independiente Santa Fe are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Independiente Santa Fe. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Independiente Santa Fe 1-0 AD Pasto (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 7 of 7 (100%) · ADP 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%
Independiente Santa Fe: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 7 of 7 (100%) · ADP 5 of 5 (100%)90.8%
Independiente Santa Fe: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 7 of 7 (100%) · ADP 5 of 5 (100%)89.7%
Independiente Santa Fe: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level
AD PASTO GOALS
AD Pasto Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
IND 5 of 5 (100%) · ADP 6 of 7 (86%)71.3%
AD Pasto scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · Independiente Santa Fe conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level
AD Pasto Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
IND 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 6 of 7 (86%)65.4%
AD Pasto scored in 3 of 5 away · Independiente Santa Fe conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.2%
Independiente Santa Fe goals →
AD Pasto goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FELLLWWLDWWD1.40 PPG
AD PASTOWLWLLDLWWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE HOMExAD PASTO AWAY
1.35SCORED A GAME0.761.06CONCEDED A GAME1.4150%BOTH SCORED20%10%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.78CORNERS A GAME4.082.48CARDS A GAME3.24
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.55POINTS A GAME1.22+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.22+0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.31.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
AD PASTO OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FExAD PASTO
5GAMES61.80SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.333.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.380%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%80%BOTH SCORE50%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.810.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.7
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Independiente Santa Fe have scored in 60% of their games.
AD Pasto have scored in 60% of their games.
Independiente Santa Fe kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
AD Pasto kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards