STSAG

06:00Sat 7 Nov

KAT

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 16. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu.

What's at stake. Sagan Tosu are 12th on 20 points after 15 games, level on points with Iwaki, 1 point clear of Montedio Yamagata. A win would take them above Iwaki. Kataller Toyama are 2nd on 28 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Albirex Niigata, level on points with Yokohama FC. A win would take them above Albirex Niigata.

Form. Sagan Tosu have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Sagan Tosu have gone W L W L W W. Kataller Toyama have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. In this competition Kataller Toyama have gone W W L W D D.

The numbers. Sagan Tosu score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Kataller Toyama score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Sagan Tosu have won two, drawn none and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 26 Aug 2026, it finished Sagan Tosu 4-0 Kataller Toyama.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Sagan Tosu's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Kataller Toyama to win. Kataller Toyama are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kataller Toyama.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kataller Toyama (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Kataller Toyama or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAG 8 of 10 (80%) · KAT 8 of 10 (80%)80.8%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sagan Tosu: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 3 · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level

Kataller Toyama win or both teams scorePAGE ONLY

1.25

SAG 8 of 10 (80%) · KAT 7 of 10 (70%)72.9%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sagan Tosu: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 1 of 3 · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level

Kataller Toyama or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

SAG 6 of 10 (60%) · KAT 7 of 10 (70%)63.3%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sagan Tosu: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 3 · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAG 10 of 10 (100%) · KAT 9 of 10 (90%)96.1%

Sagan Tosu: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kataller Toyama: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 3 · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAG 10 of 10 (100%) · KAT 9 of 10 (90%)92.6%

Sagan Tosu: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kataller Toyama: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 3 · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

SAG 10 of 10 (100%) · KAT 8 of 10 (80%)89.9%

Sagan Tosu: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kataller Toyama: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level

KATALLER TOYAMA GOALS

Kataller Toyama Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.26

SAG 8 of 10 (80%) · KAT 7 of 10 (70%)75.8%

Kataller Toyama scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sagan Tosu conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 1 of 3 · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.18

SAG 9 of 10 (90%) · KAT 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%

Sagan Tosu: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.3%

Sagan Tosu goals →

Kataller Toyama goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SAGAN TOSULLLLWWLWLW1.20 PPG

KATALLER TOYAMADWDWDDWLWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SAGAN TOSU HOMExKATALLER TOYAMA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS40%33%FAILED TO SCORE20%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.87-0.13GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.87+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.015LEAGUE GAMES15

Kataller Toyama: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SAGAN TOSU OR DRAW

36%

NO · 80/85

KATALLER TOYAMA OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SAGAN TOSUxKATALLER TOYAMA

7GAMES71.57SCORED A GAME2.141.00CONCEDED A GAME0.712.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.986%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%43%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

SAGAN TOSU 2 · 67%DRAW 0KATALLER TOYAMA 1 · 33%

1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-03-23Sagan Tosu 1 – 0 Kataller Toyama

2025-11-09Sagan Tosu 1 – 3 Kataller Toyama

2026-08-26Sagan Tosu 4 – 0 Kataller Toyama

TRENDS

Sagan Tosu failed to score in 33% of their games.

Kataller Toyama failed to score in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table