Iwaki FC vs Montedio Yamagata
Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 16. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Iwaki Greenfield.
What's at stake. Iwaki FC are 11th on 20 points after 15 games, 2 points behind Shonan Bellmare, level on points with Sagan Tosu. A win would take them above Shonan Bellmare. Montedio Yamagata are 13th on 19 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Sagan Tosu, 2 points clear of Blaublitz Akita. A win would take them above Sagan Tosu.
Form. Iwaki FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. In this competition Iwaki FC have gone L W D D W W. Montedio Yamagata have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Montedio Yamagata have gone W W L L D L.
The numbers. Iwaki FC score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Iwaki FC average 6.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Montedio Yamagata score 0.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. Montedio Yamagata average 5.3 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Iwaki FC have won one, drawn one and lost four. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Iwaki FC won one, one was drawn and Montedio Yamagata won two. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2025, it finished Iwaki FC 0-1 Montedio Yamagata.
Where it pulls both ways. Iwaki FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Montedio Yamagata: in the last six meetings, Iwaki FC won one, Montedio Yamagata won four and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Iwaki FC 1-1 Montedio Yamagata (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).