INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ELITE

FPFCP

11:00Wed 4 Nov

GAM

FC Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 4. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Pohang Steel Yard.

What's at stake. FC Pohang Steelers are 14th on 0 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Ratchaburi, level on points with Port FC. A win would take them above Ratchaburi. Gamba Osaka are 3rd on 7 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Vissel Kobe, level on points with Johor Darul Takzim FC. A win would take them above Vissel Kobe.

Form. FC Pohang Steelers have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. Gamba Osaka have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D.

The numbers. FC Pohang Steelers score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Pohang Steelers average 7.8 shots (3.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gamba Osaka average 13.3 shots (5.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

The case against. Gamba Osaka's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. FC Pohang Steelers or the draw. A tight game. Gamba Osaka are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Pohang Steelers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Pohang Steelers or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Pohang Steelers 1-1 Gamba Osaka (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Pohang Steelers or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

FCP 5 of 5 (100%) · GAM 2 of 6 (33%)69.5%

FC Pohang Steelers: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Gamba Osaka: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 45%

Double Chance: FC Pohang Steelers or DrawLEANPAGE ONLY

1.71

FCP 4 of 5 (80%) · GAM 4 of 6 (67%)58.2%

FC Pohang Steelers unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Gamba Osaka failed to win 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%

FC Pohang Steelers or Both Teams ScoreLEANHELD · the odds board 74%

1.36

FCP 2 of 5 (40%) · GAM 5 of 6 (83%)53.3%

FC Pohang Steelers: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Gamba Osaka: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

FCP 5 of 5 (100%) · GAM 5 of 6 (83%)91.6%

FC Pohang Steelers: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Gamba Osaka: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%

GAMBA OSAKA GOALS

Gamba Osaka Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

FCP 4 of 6 (67%) · GAM 3 of 5 (60%)61.4%

Gamba Osaka scored in 4 of 6 away · FC Pohang Steelers conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%

Left off the list: FC Pohang Steelers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Pohang Steelers or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Pohang Steelers Over 0.5 goals (FC Pohang Steelers's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

FC Pohang Steelers goals →

Gamba Osaka goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC POHANG STEELERSDLDDLLWLDD0.80 PPG

GAMBA OSAKADDDWDWLDWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC POHANG STEELERS HOMExGAMBA OSAKA AWAY

0.33SCORED A GAME2.672.67CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.67CORNERS A GAME4.501.90CARDS A GAME1.80

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.24POINTS A GAME1.00-0.35GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.42-1.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.217LEAGUE GAMES12

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

FC POHANG STEELERS OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

GAMBA OSAKA OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (17 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC POHANG STEELERSxGAMBA OSAKA

6GAMES80.50SCORED A GAME1.000.83CONCEDED A GAME1.621.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.650%OVER 1.5 GOALS88%17%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%33%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Pohang Steelers have scored in 50% of their games.

Gamba Osaka have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Pohang Steelers kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Gamba Osaka kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards