FFFOR

02:00Sat 7 Nov

IND

Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 18. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

What's at stake. Fortaleza FC are 20th on 12 points after 17 games, 1 point behind Jaguares. A win would take them above Jaguares. Independiente Medellin are 7th on 26 points after 17 games, level on points with Millonarios, 1 point clear of Águilas Doradas. A win would take them above Millonarios.

Form. Fortaleza FC have won none, drawn six and lost four of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Independiente Medellin have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. Fortaleza FC score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fortaleza FC average 13.6 shots (3.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Independiente Medellin score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Independiente Medellin average 13.0 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fortaleza FC have won one, drawn four and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Independiente Medellin won four. The last time they met, on 11 May 2026, it finished Fortaleza FC 0-1 Independiente Medellin.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Fortaleza FC's record still gives them 21% to win.

The read. Independiente Medellin to win. Independiente Medellin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Independiente Medellin; the meetings favour Independiente Medellin.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fortaleza FC 0-1 Independiente Medellin (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Independiente Medellin or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FOR 8 of 9 (89%) · IND 8 of 9 (89%)81.2%

Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Independiente Medellin win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.23

FOR 6 of 9 (67%) · IND 8 of 9 (89%)75%

Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Independiente Medellin or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

FOR 6 of 9 (67%) · IND 7 of 9 (78%)71.9%

Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Independiente Medellin or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.23

FOR 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 5 of 9 (56%)71.9%

Independiente Medellin scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC trailed or failed to win in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Double Chance: Draw or Independiente MedellinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

FOR 4 of 9 (44%) · IND 9 of 9 (100%)64.1%

Independiente Medellin unbeaten in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC failed to win 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Independiente Medellin 1UPSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.58

FOR 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 4 of 9 (44%)60.7%

Independiente Medellin scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · rule 2: the meetings back Independiente Medellin: in the last 10 meetings, Fortaleza FC won 1, In

Independiente Medellin or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

FOR 6 of 9 (67%) · IND 6 of 9 (67%)56.3%

Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FOR 9 of 9 (100%) · IND 9 of 9 (100%)96.3%

Fortaleza FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FOR 8 of 9 (89%) · IND 9 of 9 (100%)93.9%

Fortaleza FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FOR 8 of 9 (89%) · IND 9 of 9 (100%)90.8%

Fortaleza FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

FOR 7 of 9 (78%) · IND 8 of 9 (89%)74.1%

Fortaleza FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 6 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.74

FOR 7 of 9 (78%) · IND 6 of 9 (67%)52.5%

Fortaleza FC: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 6 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level

FORTALEZA FC GOALS

Fortaleza FC Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

FOR 7 of 9 (78%) · IND 9 of 9 (100%)68.4%

Fortaleza FC scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 2 of 6 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level

Fortaleza FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

FOR 7 of 9 (78%) · IND 4 of 9 (44%)57.7%

Fortaleza FC scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN GOALS

Independiente Medellin Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.23

FOR 6 of 9 (67%) · IND 8 of 9 (89%)71.8%

Independiente Medellin scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza FC conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.4%

Fortaleza FC goals →

Independiente Medellin goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

FORTALEZA FCLLDLDDDDLD0.60 PPG

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLINWLLLLWLDLW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FORTALEZA FC HOMExINDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.471.47CONCEDED A GAME1.4710%CLEAN SHEETS0%19%FAILED TO SCORE17%3.92CORNERS A GAME5.563.50CARDS A GAME3.380.93xG1.020.97xG AGAINST1.19

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

OVER 2.5 CARDS

–

258 OF 280

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.64POINTS A GAME1.44-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.06-1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.30.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES16

Independiente Medellin: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FORTALEZA FC OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FORTALEZA FCxINDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN

8GAMES81.12SCORED A GAME1.621.50CONCEDED A GAME1.752.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.488%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS88%75%BOTH SCORE75%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.46.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.3

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

FORTALEZA FC 1 · 10%DRAW 4INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 5 · 50%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-05-02Fortaleza FC 0 – 3 Independiente Medellin

2016-10-15Fortaleza FC 2 – 1 Independiente Medellin

2024-02-17Fortaleza FC 2 – 2 Independiente Medellin

2024-08-27Fortaleza FC 2 – 2 Independiente Medellin

2025-04-27Fortaleza FC 0 – 0 Independiente Medellin

2025-08-27Fortaleza FC 0 – 0 Independiente Medellin

2025-09-04Fortaleza FC 1 – 2 Independiente Medellin

2025-10-17Fortaleza FC 1 – 3 Independiente Medellin

TRENDS

Fortaleza FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Independiente Medellin have scored in 70% of their games.

Fortaleza FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Independiente Medellin kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards