Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 21:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras.
What's at stake. SCU Torreense are 12th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Portimonense, level on points with Leixoes. A win would take them above Portimonense. UD Leiria are 9th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Vizela, 2 points clear of AVS. A win would take them above Vizela.
Form. SCU Torreense have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. UD Leiria have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. SCU Torreense score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. SCU Torreense average 9.5 shots (3.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. UD Leiria score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. UD Leiria average 12.6 shots (5.3 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings SCU Torreense have won four, drawn one and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SCU Torreense won three and UD Leiria won one. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished SCU Torreense 3-1 UD Leiria: eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. UD Leiria are the form side, but the meetings favour SCU Torreense: in the last nine meetings, SCU Torreense won four, UD Leiria won four and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: UD Leiria or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); UD Leiria or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SCU Torreense 1-1 UD Leiria (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).