RMREA

21:00Sat 21 Nov

CEL

CEL

Real Madrid vs Celta

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. LaLiga. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.

Form. Real Madrid have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Celta have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.

The numbers. Real Madrid score 2.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Real Madrid average 6.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Celta score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Celta average 2.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 82% against the records' 51%.

The read. No firm call: Real Madrid are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Real Madrid the likelier winners; Real Madrid are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Madrid. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Real Madrid 3-0 Celta (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 7 (100%) · CEL 4 of 6 (67%)95.5%

Real Madrid: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Celta: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Celta's level · Celta: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

REA 7 of 7 (100%) · CEL 6 of 6 (100%)89.5%

Real Madrid: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Celta: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Celta's level · Celta: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.36

REA 4 of 7 (57%) · CEL 5 of 6 (83%)78.2%

Real Madrid: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Celta: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Celta's level · Celta: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

REAL MADRID GOALS

Real Madrid Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 7 (100%) · CEL 3 of 6 (50%)91.6%

Real Madrid scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Celta conceded in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Celta's level · Celta: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

CELTA GOALS

Celta Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

REA 4 of 6 (67%) · CEL 5 of 7 (71%)84%

Celta scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Celta: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Celta's level

Celta Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.78

REA 3 of 6 (50%) · CEL 5 of 7 (71%)50.9%

Celta scored in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Celta: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Celta's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 3–0 10.5%

Real Madrid goals →

Celta goals ↓

0-05%

1-010%

2-013%

3-010%

4-06%

5-03%

0-12%

1-18%

2-19%

3-17%

4-15%

5-12%

0-21%

1-23%

2-23%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.8%

0-30.2%

1-30.6%

2-30.8%

3-30.6%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.0%

1-40.1%

2-40.1%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

REAL MADRIDWWWWWWWLWW2.70 PPG

CELTALLDWWLDWLD1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REAL MADRID HOMExCELTA AWAY

2.55SCORED A GAME0.910.91CONCEDED A GAME0.9180%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.36CORNERS A GAME2.822.18CARDS A GAME1.73

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.45POINTS A GAME1.20+1.64GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20+3.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.02.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.611LEAGUE GAMES10

Real Madrid: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

REAL MADRID 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 85/90

REAL MADRID OR DRAW

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CELTA OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REAL MADRIDxCELTA

5GAMES53.40SCORED A GAME0.200.60CONCEDED A GAME0.804.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE20%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Real Madrid have scored in 100% of their games.

Celta have scored in 60% of their games.

Real Madrid kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Celta kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards