Match details. Sergipano, Serie A2, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Carmopolis SE are 1st on 4 points after 2 games. Caninde SE are 2nd on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Socorro Sport. A win would take them above Socorro Sport.
Form. AD Carmopolis SE have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. In this competition AD Carmopolis SE have gone W D. Caninde SE have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. In this competition Caninde SE have gone D W L L W W.
The numbers. AD Carmopolis SE score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AD Carmopolis SE average 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Caninde SE score 2.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Caninde SE average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make AD Carmopolis SE the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Caninde SE.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 90% on the records (AD Carmopolis SE: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Caninde SE: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: AD Carmopolis SE or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Caninde SE or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AD Carmopolis SE 2-1 Caninde SE (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).