UMRUMR

14:00Sun 8 Nov

KAY

KAY

Umraniyespor vs Kayserispor

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 1. Lig, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi, Istanbul. The referee is Copur Muhammet Alperen.

What's at stake. Umraniyespor are 15th on 14 points after 12 games, level on points with Bandırmaspor, level on points with Pendikspor. A win would take them above Bandırmaspor. Kayserispor are 2nd on 30 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Bursaspor, 2 points clear of Iğdır FK. A win would take them above Bursaspor.

Form. Umraniyespor have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition Umraniyespor have gone D W W D W L. Kayserispor have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D W W. In this competition Kayserispor have gone W D D W W W.

The numbers. Umraniyespor score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Umraniyespor average 10.5 shots (4.4 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Kayserispor score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Kayserispor average 16.2 shots (7.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Umraniyespor have won none, drawn one and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 10 Apr 2023, it finished Umraniyespor 1-3 Kayserispor: Umraniyespor had 20 shots to 18, 54% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

The read. Kayserispor to win. A tight game. Kayserispor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kayserispor.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Umraniyespor 1-2 Kayserispor (9% chance).

The agreed story. Kayserispor or the draw, a tight game.

The league run. Umraniyespor: one defeat in their last five league games (D W W L D). Kayserispor: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D D W W). Not confident in Kayserispor: the other side has lost one of its last five league games at most and draws a lot.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Kayserispor or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.16

KAY 4 of 5 (80%) · UMR 5 of 6 (83%)88.2%

Kayserispor scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 away · Umraniyespor trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home

Double Chance: Draw or KayserisporPAGE ONLY

1.22

KAY 5 of 5 (100%) · UMR 6 of 9 (67%)81.2%

Kayserispor unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Umraniyespor failed to win 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level

Umraniyespor (2:0 handicap)IN CODES

1.31

UMR 9 of 9 (100%) · KAY 3 of 5 (60%)80%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Kayserispor or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

KAY 4 of 5 (80%) · UMR 7 of 9 (78%)74.8%

Kayserispor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level

Kayserispor win or both teams scoreHELD · the odds board 85%

1.17

KAY 5 of 5 (100%) · UMR 6 of 9 (67%)65.3%

Kayserispor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level

Kayserispor (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

KAY 6 of 7 (86%) · UMR 3 of 6 (50%)57.2%

Kayserispor won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Umraniyespor lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 1

Kayserispor or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.34

KAY 4 of 5 (80%) · UMR 5 of 9 (56%)51.4%

Kayserispor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.34

UMR 5 of 9 (56%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)51.4%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Kayserispor 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

KAY 4 of 5 (80%) · UMR 5 of 6 (83%)49.8%

Kayserispor scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 away · Umraniyespor trailed in 2 of 5 at home

Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.66

UMR 7 of 9 (78%) · KAY 3 of 5 (60%)47.6%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 59% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UMR 9 of 9 (100%) · KAY 5 of 5 (100%)94.7%

Umraniyespor: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UMR 9 of 9 (100%) · KAY 5 of 5 (100%)91.6%

Umraniyespor: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UMR 9 of 9 (100%) · KAY 5 of 5 (100%)75.1%

Umraniyespor: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

UMR 7 of 9 (78%) · KAY 3 of 5 (60%)70.8%

Umraniyespor: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 59% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

UMR 6 of 9 (67%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)61.2%

Umraniyespor: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

UMRANIYESPOR GOALS

Umraniyespor Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

UMR 6 of 9 (67%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)64.5%

Umraniyespor scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

KAYSERISPOR GOALS

Kayserispor Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

KAY 3 of 5 (60%) · UMR 9 of 9 (100%)82.6%

Kayserispor scored under 2.5 in 3 of 5 away · Umraniyespor conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level

Kayserispor Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 85%

1.18

KAY 5 of 5 (100%) · UMR 6 of 9 (67%)59%

Kayserispor scored in 5 of 5 away · Umraniyespor conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level

HALVES

Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY

1.13

UMR 9 of 9 (100%) · KAY 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.18

UMR 7 of 9 (78%) · KAY 5 of 5 (100%)89.9%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2IN CODES

1.22

UMR 8 of 9 (89%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)87.1%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Umraniyespor to Score In Both Halves: NoIN CODES

1.13

UMR 8 of 9 (89%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)86.4%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

UMR 8 of 9 (89%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)83.8%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.22

UMR 6 of 9 (67%) · KAY 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

UMR 7 of 9 (78%) · KAY 3 of 5 (60%)72.2%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

UMR 7 of 9 (78%) · KAY 3 of 5 (60%)69.9%

Umraniyespor: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UMR 8 of 8 (100%) · KAY 5 of 8 (62%)87.8%

Umraniyespor's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Kayserispor's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Umraniyespor: only games against sides at Kayserispor's level · Kayserispor: only games against sides at Umraniyespor's level

OTHER

Umraniyespor To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.21

UMR 4 of 5 (80%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%

Umraniyespor scored first 4 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 4 of 5 at home · Kayserispor never conceded 2 in a row in 5 of 6 away

Umraniyespor to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

1.11

UMR 4 of 5 (80%) · KAY 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%

Umraniyespor scored first 4 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 4 of 5 at home · Kayserispor never trailed by 2 in 5 of 6 away

Kayserispor to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

KAY 4 of 5 (80%) · UMR 5 of 6 (83%)69.8%

Kayserispor scored first 3 of last 5, led by 1 in 4 · led by 1 in 5 of 6 away · Umraniyespor trailed by 1 in 2 of 5 at home

Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (44%) and the records (81%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.8%

Umraniyespor goals →

Kayserispor goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

UMRANIYESPORDLLLWDWWD1.33 PPG

KAYSERISPORLDWWWWWDDW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UMRANIYESPOR HOMExKAYSERISPOR AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME2.700.89CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS50%25%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.62CORNERS A GAME4.122.12CARDS A GAME1.380.95xG2.941.28xG AGAINST1.56

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

PRICE NOT KEPT

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.08POINTS A GAME2.25+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.83-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.212LEAGUE GAMES12

Kayserispor: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

UMRANIYESPOR OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

KAYSERISPOR OR DRAW

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UMRANIYESPORxKAYSERISPOR

6GAMES61.17SCORED A GAME2.171.00CONCEDED A GAME0.502.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.767%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

UMRANIYESPOR 0 · 0%DRAW 1KAYSERISPOR 1 · 50%

2022-10-09Umraniyespor 2 – 2 Kayserispor

2023-04-10Umraniyespor 1 – 3 Kayserispor

TRENDS

Umraniyespor have scored in 80% of their games.

Kayserispor have scored in 100% of their games.

Umraniyespor kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Kayserispor kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards