Al Zawraa vs Al Riffa
Match details. Gulf Club Champions League, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdad.
Form. Al Zawraa have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Al Zawraa have gone L D. Al Riffa have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition Al Riffa have gone W L.
The numbers. Al Zawraa score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Riffa score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Al Zawraa have won one, drawn one and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 12 Dec 2023, it finished Al Zawraa 2-1 Al Riffa: Al Zawraa had 19 shots to 5, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Al Zawraa's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Al Riffa to win. Al Riffa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Riffa.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Riffa Over 0.5 goals (Al Zawraa's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Al Zawraa 1-2 Al Riffa (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).