SLSPO

19:00Sun 8 Nov

CDT

Sporting Lisbon B vs CD Tondela

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete.

What's at stake. Sporting Lisbon B are 1st on 21 points after 9 games, 2 points clear of Penafiel. CD Tondela are 7th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with Academica, 1 point clear of Vizela. A win would take them above Academica.

Form. Sporting Lisbon B have won seven, drawn none and lost two of their last nine, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Sporting Lisbon B have gone W W W L W W. CD Tondela have won five, drawn none and lost four of their last nine, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition CD Tondela have gone W L W W W L.

The numbers. Sporting Lisbon B score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets. Sporting Lisbon B average 14.0 shots (7.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. CD Tondela score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Tondela average 3.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 61%.

The read. No firm call: Sporting Lisbon B are the better side, but not at this price. Sporting Lisbon B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Lisbon B.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Sporting Lisbon B 1-1 CD Tondela (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPO 9 of 9 (100%) · CDT 9 of 9 (100%)100%

Sporting Lisbon B: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPO 9 of 9 (100%) · CDT 9 of 9 (100%)100%

Sporting Lisbon B: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPO 9 of 9 (100%) · CDT 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%

Sporting Lisbon B: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.35

SPO 7 of 9 (78%) · CDT 7 of 9 (78%)77.8%

Sporting Lisbon B: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

SPORTING LISBON B GOALS

Sporting Lisbon B Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.34

SPO 8 of 9 (89%) · CDT 6 of 9 (67%)77.8%

Sporting Lisbon B scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

CD TONDELA GOALS

CD Tondela Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

SPO 5 of 9 (56%) · CDT 7 of 9 (78%)66.7%

CD Tondela scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Lisbon B conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.27

SPO 8 of 9 (89%) · CDT 8 of 9 (89%)88.9%

Sporting Lisbon B: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

SPO 7 of 9 (78%) · CDT 7 of 9 (78%)77.8%

Sporting Lisbon B: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPO 5 of 6 (83%) · CDT 4 of 7 (57%)70.2%

Sporting Lisbon B's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tondela's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Sporting Lisbon B: only games against sides at CD Tondela's level · CD Tondela: only games against sides at Sporting Lisbon B's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Sporting Lisbon B goals →

CD Tondela goals ↓

0-010%

1-012%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 9

SPORTING LISBON BWWLWWLWWW2.33 PPG

CD TONDELAWLLLWWWLW1.67 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SPORTING LISBON B HOMExCD TONDELA AWAY

1.67SCORED A GAME1.330.78CONCEDED A GAME1.1144%CLEAN SHEETS33%11%FAILED TO SCORE33%2.17CARDS A GAME3.57

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.25POINTS A GAME1.67+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+9.02.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES9

CD Tondela: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SPORTING LISBON B OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

CD TONDELA OR DRAW

31%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SPORTING LISBON BxCD TONDELA

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME0.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Sporting Lisbon B failed to score in 11% of their games.

CD Tondela failed to score in 33% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards