Match details. Vtora Liga. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. FC Fratria Varna have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. PFK Sportist Svoge have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L.
The numbers. FC Fratria Varna score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Fratria Varna average 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. PFK Sportist Svoge score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFK Sportist Svoge average 3.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 41%.
The read. No firm call: FC Fratria Varna are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Fratria Varna the likelier winners; FC Fratria Varna are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 74% on the records (FC Fratria Varna: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; PFK Sportist Svoge: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Fratria Varna 1-1 PFK Sportist Svoge (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).