Match details. USL Championship. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Louisville City FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Miami FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W.
The numbers. Louisville City FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Louisville City FC average 6.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Miami FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Miami FC average 3.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 32%.
The read. No firm call: Louisville City FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Louisville City FC the likelier winners; Louisville City FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 78% on the records (Louisville City FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Miami FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.11. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Louisville City FC 2-1 Miami FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Louisville City FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOU 3 of 5 (60%) · MIA 6 of 6 (100%)82.5%
Louisville City FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Miami FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 88% · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level
Miami FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOU 6 of 6 (100%) · MIA 3 of 5 (60%)82.5%
Miami FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Louisville City FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Miami FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
LOU 4 of 6 (67%) · MIA 3 of 5 (60%)62.2%
Miami FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Louisville City FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 60% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOU 3 of 5 (60%) · MIA 6 of 6 (100%)93.6%
Louisville City FC: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Miami FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 88% · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level
Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.11
LOU 5 of 5 (100%) · MIA 6 of 6 (100%)93.2%
Louisville City FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Miami FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.29
LOU 4 of 5 (80%) · MIA 5 of 6 (83%)84.3%
Louisville City FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Miami FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
LOU 3 of 5 (60%) · MIA 6 of 6 (100%)77.9%
Louisville City FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Miami FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 88% · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
LOU 3 of 5 (60%) · MIA 3 of 6 (50%)53.7%
Louisville City FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Miami FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level
LOUISVILLE CITY FC GOALS
Louisville City FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOU 3 of 5 (60%) · MIA 5 of 6 (83%)87.2%
Louisville City FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Miami FC conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · Louisville City FC: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Louisville City FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.6%
Louisville City FC goals →
Miami FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-012%
2-013%
3-09%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-13%
5-11%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-30.5%
1-30.9%
2-31.0%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LOUISVILLE CITY FCDDWWWWDWLD1.90 PPG
MIAMI FCDLLWWWWDDL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LOUISVILLE CITY FC HOMExMIAMI FC AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.301.43CONCEDED A GAME1.6340%BOTH SCORED70%60%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.94CORNERS A GAME3.321.71CARDS A GAME2.94
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.59POINTS A GAME1.18+0.35GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.24+2.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.12.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.417LEAGUE GAMES17
Louisville City FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
LOUISVILLE CITY FC OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
MIAMI FC OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (17 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LOUISVILLE CITY FCxMIAMI FC
9GAMES81.22SCORED A GAME1.120.67CONCEDED A GAME1.621.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.856%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%44%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%56%BOTH SCORE62%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.29.7CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Louisville City FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Miami FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Louisville City FC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Miami FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards