Match details. 1. Liga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia.
What's at stake. MKS Arka Gdynia are 13th on 15 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Stal Mielec, level on points with Podbeskidzie. A win would take them above Stal Mielec. Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała are 14th on 15 points after 13 games, level on points with Arka Gdynia, 1 point clear of Chrobry Głogów. A win would take them above Arka Gdynia.
Form. MKS Arka Gdynia have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. In this competition MKS Arka Gdynia have gone D W L L L L. Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała have gone D W L W D D.
The numbers. MKS Arka Gdynia score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. MKS Arka Gdynia average 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała average 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings MKS Arka Gdynia have won three, drawn three and lost none. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, MKS Arka Gdynia won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 3 May 2024, it finished MKS Arka Gdynia 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała.
Where it pulls both ways. Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała are the form side, but the meetings favour MKS Arka Gdynia: in the last six meetings, MKS Arka Gdynia won three and three were drawn. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 49%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: MKS Arka Gdynia 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).