Match details. Liga Femenina. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sporting Cristal have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. Club Alianza Lima have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Sporting Cristal score two and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sporting Cristal average 4.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Club Alianza Lima score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Club Alianza Lima average 5.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
The case against. Sporting Cristal's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Club Alianza Lima to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Alianza Lima the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Club Alianza Lima. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sporting Cristal or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Club Alianza Lima); Club Alianza Lima or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 1-2 Club Alianza Lima (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).