Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time.
Form. Mirassol FC SP have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Atletico Mineiro MG have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Mirassol FC SP score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mirassol FC SP average 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Atletico Mineiro MG score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atletico Mineiro MG average 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mirassol FC SP 1-1 Atletico Mineiro MG (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MIR 10 of 10 (100%) · ATL 7 of 7 (100%)95.6%
Mirassol FC SP: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
MIR 10 of 10 (100%) · ATL 6 of 7 (86%)88.8%
Mirassol FC SP: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
MIRASSOL FC SP GOALS
Mirassol FC SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
MIR 7 of 10 (70%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)76.3%
Mirassol FC SP scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
ATLETICO MINEIRO MG GOALS
Atletico Mineiro MG Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
MIR 5 of 7 (71%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)66.3%
Atletico Mineiro MG scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mirassol FC SP conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
Mirassol FC SP goals →
Atletico Mineiro MG goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
MIRASSOL FC SPWLDWLDWDWL1.50 PPG
ATLETICO MINEIRO MGLLLLLWWWDW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MIRASSOL FC SP HOMExATLETICO MINEIRO MG AWAY
1.15SCORED A GAME1.291.41CONCEDED A GAME1.1850%BOTH SCORED30%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.18CORNERS A GAME5.182.56CARDS A GAME1.76
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.80POINTS A GAME1.17+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-0.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.810LEAGUE GAMES6
Mirassol FC SP: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MIRASSOL FC SP OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ATLETICO MINEIRO MG OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MIRASSOL FC SPxATLETICO MINEIRO MG
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.08.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Mirassol FC SP have scored in 70% of their games.
Atletico Mineiro MG have scored in 60% of their games.
Mirassol FC SP kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Atletico Mineiro MG kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards