Match details. Liga Nacional, Regular Season - 18. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango.
Form. CSD Xelaju MC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. CD Marquense have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. CSD Xelaju MC score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CSD Xelaju MC average 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game. CD Marquense score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Marquense average 5.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. CD Marquense's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CSD Xelaju MC to win. A tight game. CSD Xelaju MC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (CSD Xelaju MC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (CSD Xelaju MC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CSD Xelaju MC 1-0 CD Marquense (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
CSD XELAJU MC GOALS
CSD Xelaju MC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
CSD 5 of 5 (100%) · CDM 6 of 10 (60%)78.6%
CSD Xelaju MC scored in 5 of 5 at home · CD Marquense conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · CSD Xelaju MC: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level · CD Marquense: only games against sides at CSD Xelaju MC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (CSD Xelaju MC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (CSD Xelaju MC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.6%
CSD Xelaju MC goals →
CD Marquense goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CSD XELAJU MCDWLWLWLWDL1.40 PPG
CD MARQUENSEDLWDDWWLDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CSD XELAJU MC HOMExCD MARQUENSE AWAY
1.65SCORED A GAME1.061.18CONCEDED A GAME1.2450%BOTH SCORED50%40%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.06CORNERS A GAME5.412.94CARDS A GAME2.47
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CSD XELAJU MC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.78+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+6.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.62.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES9
CSD Xelaju MC: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CSD XELAJU MC OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
CD MARQUENSE OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CSD XELAJU MCxCD MARQUENSE
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CSD Xelaju MC have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Marquense have scored in 70% of their games.
CSD Xelaju MC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
CD Marquense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards