Match details. Croatian Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. NK Mladost Zdralovi have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. NK Slaven Belupo have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.
The numbers. NK Mladost Zdralovi score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. NK Mladost Zdralovi average 11.6 shots (5.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. NK Slaven Belupo score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. NK Slaven Belupo average 11.6 shots (4.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The case against. NK Mladost Zdralovi's record still gives them 55% to win.
The read. NK Slaven Belupo to win. Both teams' records favour NK Mladost Zdralovi.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (NK Slaven Belupo are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (NK Slaven Belupo are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: NK Mladost Zdralovi 0-1 NK Slaven Belupo (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
NK MLADOST ZDRALOVI GOALS
NK Mladost Zdralovi Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
NKM 4 of 5 (80%) · NKS 3 of 5 (60%)65.8%
NK Mladost Zdralovi scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · NK Slaven Belupo conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKM 4 of 5 (80%) · NKS 3 of 5 (60%)71.5%
NK Mladost Zdralovi's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · NK Slaven Belupo's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (NK Slaven Belupo are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (NK Slaven Belupo are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.8%
NK Mladost Zdralovi goals →
NK Slaven Belupo goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
NK MLADOST ZDRALOVIWWLWLLWDDW1.70 PPG
NK SLAVEN BELUPOLWLWDLWWLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NK MLADOST ZDRALOVI HOMExNK SLAVEN BELUPO AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.6050%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.002.70CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR NK SLAVEN BELUPO (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.90POINTS A GAME1.18+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.82+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.11.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES11
NK Mladost Zdralovi: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
NK MLADOST ZDRALOVI 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
66%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NK MLADOST ZDRALOVI OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
NK SLAVEN BELUPO OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NK MLADOST ZDRALOVIxNK SLAVEN BELUPO
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME2.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
NK Mladost Zdralovi have scored in 80% of their games.
NK Slaven Belupo have scored in 70% of their games.
NK Mladost Zdralovi kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
NK Slaven Belupo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards