CA Independiente Avellaneda v Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Argentina - Primera LPF · 23:15
1.16odds
86%book
+2edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 23:15 Lagos time. It is played at Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires. The referee is Juan Pafundi.
What's at stake. CA Independiente Avellaneda are 8th on 20 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Gimnasia M., 1 point clear of San Lorenzo. A win would take them above Gimnasia M.. Deportivo Riestra AFBC are 14th on 12 points after 15 games, level on points with Talleres Cordoba, 2 points clear of Central Cordoba de Santiago. A win would take them above Talleres Cordoba.
Form. CA Independiente Avellaneda have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. Deportivo Riestra AFBC have won none, drawn six and lost four of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. CA Independiente Avellaneda score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CA Independiente Avellaneda average 5.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Deportivo Riestra AFBC score 0.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Deportivo Riestra AFBC average 3.7 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 62% against the records' 26%.
The read. No firm call: CA Independiente Avellaneda are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Independiente Avellaneda the likelier winners; CA Independiente Avellaneda are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 75% on the records (CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Deportivo Riestra AFBC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9). The safer one: Deportivo Riestra AFBC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.10 (76%). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.10. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: CA Independiente Avellaneda 1-1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAI 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 9 of 9 (100%)97.8%
CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Deportivo Riestra AFBC's level · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAI 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 9 of 9 (100%)89.4%
CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Deportivo Riestra AFBC's level · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
CAI 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 9 of 9 (100%)87.5%
CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Deportivo Riestra AFBC's level · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level
Over 0.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.10
CAI 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 8 of 9 (89%)75.8%
CA Independiente Avellaneda: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Deportivo Riestra AFBC's level · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level
Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.49
CAI 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 7 of 9 (78%)71.7%
CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Deportivo Riestra AFBC's level · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level
CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDA GOALS
CA Independiente Avellaneda Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.22
CAI 2 of 5 (40%) · DEP 8 of 9 (89%)70.1%
CA Independiente Avellaneda scored in 2 of 5 at home · Deportivo Riestra AFBC conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Deportivo Riestra AFBC's level · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC GOALS
Deportivo Riestra AFBC Under 1.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.10
CAI 9 of 9 (100%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)88.2%
Deportivo Riestra AFBC scored under 1.5 in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CA Independiente Avellaneda conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Deportivo Riestra AFBC: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Deportivo Riestra AFBC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.5%
CA Independiente… goals →
Deportivo Riestra AFBC goals ↓
0-09%
1-012%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-17%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-22%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDADLDDLWDWLD1.10 PPG
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBCLLDLDDLDDD0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDA HOMExDEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC AWAY
0.87SCORED A GAME0.671.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1330%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.56CORNERS A GAME3.712.50CARDS A GAME3.16
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.43POINTS A GAME0.85+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.46-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.51.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.47LEAGUE GAMES13
CA Independiente Avellaneda: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
18%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDA OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDAxDEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.401.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%5.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.88.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CA Independiente Avellaneda have scored in 60% of their games.
Deportivo Riestra AFBC have scored in 50% of their games.
CA Independiente Avellaneda kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Deportivo Riestra AFBC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards