KFKAR

18:00Tue 3 Nov

ERM

Karmiotissa FC vs Ermis Aradippou FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Cyprus Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Karmiotissa FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. Ermis Aradippou FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.

The numbers. Karmiotissa FC score 0.5 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Karmiotissa FC average 8.6 shots (3.4 on target), 2.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Ermis Aradippou FC score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ermis Aradippou FC average 9.6 shots (4.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Karmiotissa FC have won one, drawn two and lost four. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Ermis Aradippou FC won two. The last time they met, on 26 Feb 2022, it finished Karmiotissa FC 1-1 Ermis Aradippou FC.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 14% against the records' 53%.

The read. No firm call: Ermis Aradippou FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Ermis Aradippou FC the likelier winners; Ermis Aradippou FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ermis Aradippou FC; the meetings favour Ermis Aradippou FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Karmiotissa FC 0-1 Ermis Aradippou FC (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.23

KAR 5 of 6 (83%) · ERM 6 of 6 (100%)91.6%

Karmiotissa FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Ermis Aradippou FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Ermis Aradippou FC: only games against sides at Karmiotissa FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

KAR 5 of 6 (83%) · ERM 6 of 6 (100%)86.9%

Karmiotissa FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Ermis Aradippou FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Ermis Aradippou FC: only games against sides at Karmiotissa FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.89

KAR 3 of 6 (50%) · ERM 4 of 6 (67%)65.3%

Karmiotissa FC: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Ermis Aradippou FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 4 of 6 · Ermis Aradippou FC: only games against sides at Karmiotissa FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY

1.80

KAR 5 of 6 (83%) · ERM 4 of 6 (67%)65%

Karmiotissa FC: not both scored in 5 of 6 at home · Ermis Aradippou FC: not both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 6 · Ermis Aradippou FC: only games against sides at Karmiotissa FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 15.1%

Karmiotissa FC goals →

Ermis Aradippou FC goals ↓

0-012%

1-08%

2-03%

3-00.8%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-115%

1-113%

2-15%

3-11%

4-10.2%

5-10.0%

0-212%

1-29%

2-23%

3-20.9%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-36%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KARMIOTISSA FCWDLDDDLLLW1.00 PPG

ERMIS ARADIPPOU FCWWLDWLWWLL1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KARMIOTISSA FC HOMExERMIS ARADIPPOU FC AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME1.101.60CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS50%50%FAILED TO SCORE17%2.60CORNERS A GAME3.883.20CARDS A GAME1.62

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7

KARMIOTISSA FC 1 · 14%DRAW 2ERMIS ARADIPPOU FC 4 · 57%

4 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-02-29Karmiotissa FC 3 – 2 Ermis Aradippou FC

2020-10-17Karmiotissa FC 0 – 1 Ermis Aradippou FC

2021-01-15Karmiotissa FC 0 – 2 Ermis Aradippou FC

2021-03-19Karmiotissa FC 2 – 2 Ermis Aradippou FC

2021-05-17Karmiotissa FC 1 – 7 Ermis Aradippou FC

2021-10-31Karmiotissa FC 0 – 1 Ermis Aradippou FC

2022-02-26Karmiotissa FC 1 – 1 Ermis Aradippou FC

TRENDS

Karmiotissa FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Ermis Aradippou FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Karmiotissa FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Ermis Aradippou FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards