AEL Limassol vs Iraklis Gerolakkou
Match details. Cy1. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. AEL Limassol have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. Iraklis Gerolakkou have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. AEL Limassol score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AEL Limassol average 12.5 shots (5.4 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Iraklis Gerolakkou score 0.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Iraklis Gerolakkou average 9.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 95% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: AEL Limassol are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. AEL Limassol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AEL Limassol. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AEL Limassol 1-1 Iraklis Gerolakkou (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).