Match details. Lt2, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FK Minija 2017 are 2nd on 70 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Babrungas, 12 points clear of Be1 NFA. A win would take them above Babrungas. FK Garliava are 11th on 30 points after 29 games, 1 point behind Jonava, 1 point clear of Kauno Žalgiris II. A win would take them above Jonava. FK Garliava have nothing left to play for, while FK Minija 2017 need the win.
Form. FK Minija 2017 have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition FK Minija 2017 have gone W L L W W W. FK Garliava have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition FK Garliava have gone D L W D W L.
The numbers. FK Minija 2017 score three and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. FK Minija 2017 average 13.4 shots (7.4 on target), 8.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. FK Garliava score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Garliava average 8.1 shots (3.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings FK Minija 2017 have won one, drawn two and lost four. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, FK Minija 2017 won one, one was drawn and FK Garliava won two. The last time they met, on 26 Jun 2026, it finished FK Minija 2017 1-0 FK Garliava.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FK Garliava's record still gives them 21% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. FK Minija 2017 to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FK Minija 2017 the likelier winners; FK Minija 2017 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Minija 2017. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FK Minija 2017 2-0 FK Garliava (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).