Baia de Pemba FC vs Ferroviario de Maputo
Match details. Mocambola. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Baia de Pemba FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Ferroviario de Maputo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D.
The numbers. Baia de Pemba FC score 0.9 and concede 0.4 a game in their last seven at home, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Baia de Pemba FC average 3.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Ferroviario de Maputo score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ferroviario de Maputo average 5.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Ferroviario de Maputo are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Baia de Pemba FC.
The case against. Ferroviario de Maputo's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Baia de Pemba FC or the draw. A tight game. Ferroviario de Maputo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Baia de Pemba FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: Baia de Pemba FC or Draw at 1.35, 71% on the records (Baia de Pemba FC unbeaten in 6 of 7 at home; Ferroviario de Maputo failed to win 4 of 6 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Baia de Pemba FC 0-0 Ferroviario de Maputo (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).