Match details. EFL Trophy, Group North - 3. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at New York Stadium, Rotherham.
Form. Rotherham United have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. In this competition Rotherham United have gone L. Newcastle United U21 have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Newcastle United U21 have gone L W.
The numbers. Rotherham United score 1.7 and concede 2.8 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Rotherham United average 9.4 shots (3.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Newcastle United U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 8 Oct 2024, it finished Rotherham United 3-1 Newcastle United U21: Rotherham United had 17 shots to 5, 49% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Rotherham United's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Newcastle United U21 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Newcastle United U21 the likelier winners; Newcastle United U21 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Rotherham United 1-2 Newcastle United U21 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).