Rochdale AFC vs Doncaster Rovers
Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Rochdale AFC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Doncaster Rovers have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Rochdale AFC score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Rochdale AFC average 6.5 shots (2.5 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Doncaster Rovers score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Doncaster Rovers average 6.3 shots (2.3 on target) and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Rochdale AFC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Rochdale AFC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Rochdale AFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Doncaster Rovers or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Rochdale AFC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Rochdale AFC 2-1 Doncaster Rovers (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).