Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen FC
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 4. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa City.
Form. Kashiwa Reysol have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. Daejeon Citizen FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.
The numbers. Kashiwa Reysol score 3.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Kashiwa Reysol average 14.1 shots (6.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Daejeon Citizen FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Daejeon Citizen FC average 12.2 shots (4.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 37%.
The read. No firm call: Kashiwa Reysol are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kashiwa Reysol the likelier winners; Kashiwa Reysol are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 82% on the records (Kashiwa Reysol: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Daejeon Citizen FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Daejeon Citizen FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Kashiwa Reysol); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Daejeon Citizen FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).