FRFCR

08:00Tue 3 Nov

FCG

FC Ryukyu vs FC Gifu

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J3 League, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 08:00 Lagos time. It is played at Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium.

What's at stake. FC Ryukyu are 9th on 23 points after 14 games, level on points with Osaka, 3 points clear of Kanazawa. A win would take them above Osaka. FC Gifu are 5th on 25 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Nara Club, level on points with Sagamihara. A win would take them above Nara Club.

Form. FC Ryukyu have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. FC Gifu have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. FC Ryukyu score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. FC Ryukyu average 5.6 corners and 0.9 cards a game. FC Gifu score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FC Gifu average 5.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Ryukyu the likelier winners, but FC Gifu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Ryukyu.

The case against. FC Ryukyu's record still gives them 60% to win.

The read. FC Gifu or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Ryukyu the likelier winners; FC Gifu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Ryukyu. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Gifu Over 0.5 goals (FC Ryukyu's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Ryukyu 1-1 FC Gifu (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCR 5 of 6 (83%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)96.1%

FC Ryukyu: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · FC Gifu: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · FC Ryukyu: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level · FC Gifu: only games against sides at FC Ryukyu's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

FCR 5 of 6 (83%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)90.1%

FC Ryukyu: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · FC Gifu: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · FC Ryukyu: only games against sides at FC Gifu's level · FC Gifu: only games against sides at FC Ryukyu's level

Left off the list: FC Gifu Over 0.5 goals (FC Ryukyu's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

FC Ryukyu goals →

FC Gifu goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC RYUKYUWWWWLLDLWW1.90 PPG

FC GIFUWLWWWLLWLL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC RYUKYU HOMExFC GIFU AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.791.21CONCEDED A GAME0.9340%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.64CORNERS A GAME5.920.93CARDS A GAME1.46

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.77POINTS A GAME1.79+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.86-0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.32.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.413LEAGUE GAMES14

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

FC RYUKYU OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

FC GIFU OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC RYUKYUxFC GIFU

7GAMES71.86SCORED A GAME1.430.86CONCEDED A GAME1.142.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.671%OVER 1.5 GOALS57%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%43%BOTH SCORE43%2.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Ryukyu have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Gifu have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Ryukyu kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

FC Gifu kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards