FK Rostov vs PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Fri 20 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Rostov Arena.
What's at stake. FK Rostov are 6th on 18 points after 13 games, 5 points behind FC Krasnodar, 1 point clear of Baltika. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara are 9th on 15 points after 13 games, 2 points behind FC Orenburg, level on points with Rubin. A win would take them above FC Orenburg.
Form. FK Rostov have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. In this competition FK Rostov have gone W W D W L L. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. In this competition PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara have gone L W L D D W.
The numbers. FK Rostov score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FK Rostov average 11.9 shots (4.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara average 14.6 shots (4.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Rostov have won six, drawn none and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, FK Rostov won two and PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara won two. The last time they met, on 23 Nov 2025, it finished FK Rostov 0-2 PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FK Rostov's record still gives them 44% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara to win. An open game. FK Rostov are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30, 74% on the records (FK Rostov: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win or both teams score at 1.41. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FK Rostov Under 1.5 goals (PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FK Rostov 1-2 PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).